Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 12 players rated

Points

Running entirely on last season until this one has games behind it.

CLE @ PHI

7:00 PM ET

Jaylen Brown

7:00 PM ET
PHI vs CLE · G
vs CLE: 24.0 in 3 games (best 30, worst 19)
Our projection 28.7
L50% (0/1)L100% (0/1)
28.7 per game
Player detail +

Last 1 game

0–1 over 28.7 · L5 0–1
28.7
19

Defence

CLE allow0.0
league average114.3
His season average28.7

Tyrese Maxey

7:00 PM ET
PHI vs CLE · G
vs CLE: 21.0 in 3 games (best 27, worst 14)
Our projection 28.3
L50% (0/1)L100% (0/1)
28.3 per game
Player detail +

Last 1 game

0–1 over 28.3 · L5 0–1
28.3
28

Defence

CLE allow0.0
league average114.3
His season average28.3

Joel Embiid

7:00 PM ET
PHI vs CLE · C
vs CLE: 26.5 in 2 games (best 33, worst 20)
Our projection 26.9
L50% (0/1)L100% (0/1)
26.9 per game
Player detail +

Last 1 game

0–1 over 26.9 · L5 0–1
26.9
13

Defence

CLE allow0.0
league average114.3
His season average26.9

Donovan Mitchell

7:00 PM ET
CLE vs PHI · G
vs PHI: 27.8 in 4 games (best 46, worst 13)
Our projection 24.4
27.9 per game
Player detail +

Defence

PHI allow100.0
league average114.3
His season average27.9
PHI allows to guards59.0 · 13th most of 28
League average to that position55.9

James Harden

7:00 PM ET
CLE vs PHI · G
vs PHI: 24.5 in 2 games (best 28, worst 21)
Our projection 20.6
23.6 per game
Player detail +

Defence

PHI allow100.0
league average114.3
His season average23.6
PHI allows to guards59.0 · 13th most of 28
League average to that position55.9

Evan Mobley

7:00 PM ET
CLE vs PHI · C
vs PHI: 17.5 in 4 games (best 23, worst 15)
Our projection 15.9
18.2 per game
Player detail +

Defence

PHI allow100.0
league average114.3
His season average18.2
PHI allows to centres31.0 · 1st most of 26
League average to that position15.3

DEN @ OKC

9:30 PM ET

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

9:30 PM ET
OKC vs DEN · G
vs DEN: 35.0 in 3 games (best 36, worst 34)
Our projection 31.1
L5100% (1/1)L10100% (1/1)
31.1 per game
Player detail +

Last 1 game

1–0 over 31.1 · L5 1–0
31.1
32

Defence

DEN allow0.0
league average114.3
His season average31.1

Nikola Jokic

9:30 PM ET
DEN vs OKC · C
vs OKC: 23.7 in 3 games (best 32, worst 16)
Our projection 25.2
27.7 per game
Player detail +

Defence

OKC allow104.0
league average114.3
His season average27.7
OKC allows to centres4.0 · 23rd most of 26
League average to that position15.3

Jamal Murray

9:30 PM ET
DEN vs OKC · G
vs OKC: 24.0 in 3 games (best 39, worst 12)
Our projection 23.1
25.4 per game
Player detail +

Defence

OKC allow104.0
league average114.3
His season average25.4
OKC allows to guards65.0 · 10th most of 28
League average to that position55.9

Chet Holmgren

9:30 PM ET
OKC vs DEN · C
vs DEN: 14.5 in 2 games (best 15, worst 14)
Our projection 17.1
L50% (0/1)L100% (0/1)
17.1 per game
Player detail +

Last 1 game

0–1 over 17.1 · L5 0–1
17.1
14

Defence

DEN allow0.0
league average114.3
His season average17.1

Jalen Williams

9:30 PM ET
OKC vs DEN · G
Has not faced DEN in two seasons
Our projection 17.1
L50% (0/1)L100% (0/1)
17.1 per game
Player detail +

Last 1 game

0–1 over 17.1 · L5 0–1
17.1
12

Defence

DEN allow0.0
league average114.3
His season average17.1

DeMar DeRozan

9:30 PM ET
DEN vs OKC · G
vs OKC: 18.0 in 3 games (best 19, worst 17)
Our projection 16.8
18.4 per game
Player detail +

Defence

OKC allow104.0
league average114.3
His season average18.4
OKC allows to guards65.0 · 10th most of 28
League average to that position55.9

Graded

Across 78 graded projections we miss by 5.79 on average. The player's season average alone misses by 5.83 — so the opponent adjustment is earning its place, for now.