Tonight — Craftypicks

Cubs @ Reds

6:41 PM ET

CHC win prob 52%

market 57%+5.1 edge

Game detail +

CHC

85–68 · 2nd NL Central

L10 4-6W1

@

CIN

71–82 · 5th NL Central

L10 2-8L1

Fri Sep 18 · 6:41 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

Head to head 2026

Cubs lead the season series 7–3

73

6.6 runs/g4.8 runs/g

Jul 104–0

Jul 115–3

Jul 128–4

Aug 2810–8

Aug 2917–5

Aug 307–5

Green = Cubs won · last Aug 30, CIN 7–5

4 earlier meetings not shown

Starter vs current lineup · career

C. Holmes

RHP · 2.85 ERA

vs Reds · 30 PA

K%16.7

BB%6.7

AVG.160

xwOBA.245

C. Burns

RHP · 2.80 ERA

vs Cubs · 32 PA

K%25.0

BB%6.2

AVG.233

xwOBA.313

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2024–2026, 17 PA

Royals @ Pirates

6:41 PM ET

PIT win prob 52%

market 64%−12 fade

Game detail +

KC

67–86 · 5th AL Central

L10 4-6L1

@

PIT

76–77 · 3rd NL Central

L10 6-4W1

Fri Sep 18 · 6:41 PM ET · PNC Park

Head to head

They have not met yet this season.

Starter vs current lineup · career

R. Dobnak

RHP · 2.73 ERA

vs Pirates · 9 PA

K%11.1

BB%0.0

AVG.000

xwOBA—

P. Skenes

RHP · 3.78 ERA

vs Royals · 9 PA

K%44.4

BB%11.1

AVG.000

xwOBA.208

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2024–2026, 9 PA

Brewers @ Orioles

7:06 PM ET

MIL win prob 54%

market 57%+2.9 edge

Game detail +

MIL

95–58 · 1st NL Central

L10 7-3L1

@

BAL

75–78 · 5th AL East

L10 6-4W3

Fri Sep 18 · 7:06 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Head to head

They have not met yet this season.

Starter vs current lineup · career

D. May

RHP · 4.49 ERA

vs Orioles · 27 PA

K%22.2

BB%3.7

AVG.360

xwOBA.168

He has not faced these hitters.

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2026, 2 PA

Athletics @ Guardians

7:11 PM ET

CLE win prob 60%

market 68%−7.8 fade

Game detail +

ATH

61–92 · 4th AL West

L10 4-6L3

@

CLE

78–75 · 2nd AL Central

L10 6-4W2

Fri Sep 18 · 7:11 PM ET · Progressive Field

Head to head 2026

Guardians lead the season series 2–1

12

6.0 runs/g7.7 runs/g

May 18–5

May 214–6

May 37–1

Green = Athletics won · last May 3, ATH 7–1

Starter vs current lineup · career

M. Barnett

RHP · 7.08 ERA

vs Guardians · 7 PA

K%28.6

BB%28.6

AVG.000

xwOBA—

He has not faced these hitters.

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more

Red Sox @ Rays

7:11 PM ET

TB win prob 52%

market 56%−3.7 fade

Game detail +

BOS

83–70 · 3rd AL East

L10 5-5W1

@

TB

93–59 · 1st AL East

L10 8-2W6

Fri Sep 18 · 7:11 PM ET · Tropicana Field

Head to head 2026

Red Sox lead the season series 6–5

65

4.0 runs/g3.3 runs/g

Jun 94–3

Jun 107–5

Jul 1710–0

Jul 175–3

Jul 187–6

Jul 196–1

Green = Red Sox won · last Jul 19, BOS 6–1

5 earlier meetings not shown

Starter vs current lineup · career

R. Suarez

LHP · 3.33 ERA

vs Rays · 37 PA

K%13.5

BB%5.4

AVG.314

xwOBA—

I. Seymour

LHP · 4.27 ERA

vs Red Sox · 30 PA

K%26.7

BB%10.0

AVG.074

xwOBA.348

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2026, 20 PA

Phillies @ Mets

7:16 PM ET

NYM win prob 57%

market 51%+5.6 edge

Game detail +

PHI

85–68 · 2nd NL East

L10 5-5W2

@

NYM

69–84 · 5th NL East

L10 4-6L5

Fri Sep 18 · 7:16 PM ET · Citi Field

Head to head 2026

Phillies lead the season series 6–4

64

4.5 runs/g3.3 runs/g

Jun 276–2

Jun 285–4

Jul 164–1

Jul 186–1

Jul 196–1

Sep 173–0

Green = Phillies won · last Sep 17, PHI 3–0

4 earlier meetings not shown

Starter vs current lineup · career

He has not faced these hitters.

Z. Thornton

LHP · 3.44 ERA

vs Phillies · 23 PA

K%30.4

BB%4.3

AVG.227

xwOBA.296

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2026, 23 PA

Tigers @ White Sox

7:41 PM ET

CWS win prob 55%

market 55%no edge

Game detail +

DET

72–81 · 3rd AL Central

L10 7-3L2

@

CWS

78–75 · 1st AL Central

L10 3-7W1

Fri Sep 18 · 7:41 PM ET · Rate Field

Head to head 2026

White Sox lead the season series 7–3

37

3.2 runs/g4.4 runs/g

Jun 204–1

Jun 215–4

Aug 149–5

Aug 154–3

Aug 167–5

Sep 173–1

Green = Tigers won · last Sep 17, CWS 3–1

4 earlier meetings not shown

Jays @ Rangers

8:06 PM ET

TOR win prob 56%

market 56%no edge

Game detail +

TOR

76–77 · 4th AL East

L10 4-6W1

@

TEX

76–77 · 2nd AL West

L10 6-4L1

Fri Sep 18 · 8:06 PM ET · Globe Life Field

Head to head 2026

Rangers lead the season series 4–0

04

3.8 runs/g5.2 runs/g

Jun 256–5

Jun 265–4

Jun 277–4

Jun 283–2

Green = Jays won · last Jun 28, TEX 3–2

Starter vs current lineup · career

D. Cease

RHP · 2.38 ERA

vs Rangers · 96 PA

K%32.3

BB%11.5

AVG.262

xwOBA.269

K. Rocker

RHP · 4.54 ERA

vs Jays · 26 PA

K%23.1

BB%7.7

AVG.174

xwOBA.286

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2025–2026, 28 PA

Mariners @ Rockies

8:11 PM ET

SEA win prob 52%

market 64%+12 edge

Game detail +

SEA

71–82 · 3rd AL West

L10 5-5W1

@

COL

56–97 · 5th NL West

L10 1-9L2

Fri Sep 18 · 8:11 PM ET · Coors Field

Head to head

They have not met yet this season.

Starter vs current lineup · career

B. Woo

RHP · 3.88 ERA

vs Rockies · 14 PA

K%21.4

BB%0.0

AVG.286

xwOBA—

He has not faced these hitters.

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more

Braves @ Astros

8:11 PM ET

HOU win prob 51%

market 48%+3.3 edge

Game detail +

ATL

89–64 · 1st NL East

L10 4-6L1

@

HOU

77–76 · 1st AL West

L10 4-6W1

Fri Sep 18 · 8:11 PM ET · Daikin Park

Head to head

They have not met yet this season.

Starter vs current lineup · career

T. Mahle

RHP · 3.91 ERA

vs Astros · 64 PA

K%20.3

BB%10.9

AVG.175

xwOBA.210

P. Lambert

RHP · 3.71 ERA

vs Braves · 46 PA

K%17.4

BB%8.7

AVG.262

xwOBA—

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2026, 2 PA

Nationals @ Cardinals

8:16 PM ET

STL win prob 54%

market 50%+4.0 edge

Game detail +

WSH

71–82 · 4th NL East

L10 4-6L1

@

STL

75–78 · 4th NL Central

L10 4-6L2

Fri Sep 18 · 8:16 PM ET · Busch Stadium

Head to head 2026

Cardinals lead the season series 2–1

12

5.3 runs/g6.3 runs/g

Apr 69–6

Apr 77–6

Apr 86–1

Green = Nationals won · last Apr 8, STL 6–1

Starter vs current lineup · career

C. Cavalli

RHP · 3.12 ERA

vs Cardinals · 20 PA

K%15.0

BB%20.0

AVG.250

xwOBA.361

K. Leahy

RHP · 3.33 ERA

vs Nationals · 5 PA

K%20.0

BB%20.0

AVG.250

xwOBA—

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2025–2026, 20 PA

Twins @ Angels

9:39 PM ET

MIN win prob 55%

market 51%−3.4 fade

Game detail +

MIN

71–82 · 4th AL Central

L10 3-7L1

@

LAA

59–94 · 5th AL West

L10 5-5W1

Fri Sep 18 · 9:39 PM ET · Angel Stadium

Head to head 2026

The season series is level at 2–2

22

4.0 runs/g3.5 runs/g

Jul 104–3

Jul 115–3

Jul 124–2

Sep 175–4

Green = Twins won · last Sep 17, LAA 5–4

Starter vs current lineup · career

He has not faced these hitters.

G. Rodriguez

RHP · 6.10 ERA

vs Twins · 25 PA

K%8.0

BB%4.0

AVG.318

xwOBA.325

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2024–2026, 25 PA

Yankees @ Diamondbacks

9:41 PM ET

ARI win prob 55%

market 48%+6.8 edge

Game detail +

NYY

88–64 · 2nd AL East

L10 7-3L1

@

ARI

80–73 · 3rd NL West

L10 5-5L2

Fri Sep 18 · 9:41 PM ET · Chase Field

Head to head

They have not met yet this season.

Starter vs current lineup · career

G. Cole

RHP · 3.67 ERA

vs Diamondbacks · 46 PA

K%10.9

BB%6.5

AVG.381

xwOBA.530

E. Rodriguez

LHP · 2.62 ERA

vs Yankees · 93 PA

K%34.4

BB%14.0

AVG.203

xwOBA.228

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2024–2026, 4 PA

Marlins @ Padres

9:41 PM ET

SD win prob 57%

market 66%−9.0 fade

Game detail +

MIA

76–77 · 3rd NL East

L10 5-5W2

@

SD

84–69 · 2nd NL West

L10 9-1W2

Fri Sep 18 · 9:41 PM ET · Petco Park

Head to head 2026

Padres lead the season series 3–0

03

2.3 runs/g5.3 runs/g

Jul 244–2

Jul 257–2

Jul 265–3

Green = Marlins won · last Jul 26, SD 5–3

Starter vs current lineup · career

T. Phillips

RHP · 3.55 ERA

vs Padres · 9 PA

K%11.1

BB%0.0

AVG.000

xwOBA—

N. Pivetta

RHP · 3.60 ERA

vs Marlins · 5 PA

K%80.0

BB%0.0

AVG.000

xwOBA—

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more

Giants @ Dodgers

10:15 PM ET

LAD win prob 64%

market 74%−10 fade

Game detail +

SF

64–89 · 4th NL West

L10 5-5W2

@

LAD

93–60 · 1st NL West

L10 7-3W1

Fri Sep 18 · 10:15 PM ET · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

Head to head 2026

Giants lead the season series 4–3

43

3.3 runs/g2.6 runs/g

Apr 223–0

Apr 233–0

May 119–3

May 126–2

May 134–0

May 145–2

Green = Giants won · last May 14, LAD 5–2

1 earlier meeting not shown

Starter vs current lineup · career

He has not faced these hitters.

T. Glasnow

RHP · 3.50 ERA

vs Giants · 23 PA

K%17.4

BB%4.3

AVG.238

xwOBA.243

Longer bar = the starter has suppressed that lineup more · xwOBA from 2026, 5 PA