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Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 28 players rated

Passing yards

NE @ CHI

8:15 PM ET

Drake Maye

8:15 PM ET
NE vs CHI · QB
Our projection 251yds
L540% (2/5)L1040% (4/10)
250 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

4–6 over 251 · L5 2–3
251.1
155380256191178208199269374235

Defence

CHI allow232 yds
league average231 yds

Caleb Williams

8:15 PM ET
CHI vs NE · QB
Our projection 222yds
L560% (3/5)L1060% (6/10)
234 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

6–4 over 222 · L5 3–2
222
239154186242250330212269138305

Defence

NE allow219 yds
league average231 yds

PIT @ NO

9:30 AM ET

Tyler Shough

9:30 AM ET
NO vs PIT · QB
Our projection 237yds
L560% (3/5)L1080% (8/10)
231 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

8–2 over 237 · L5 3–2
237.4
27230833325941025225528696144

Defence

PIT allow238 yds
league average231 yds

Aaron Rodgers

9:30 AM ET
PIT vs NO · QB
Our projection 233yds
L580% (4/5)L1060% (6/10)
232 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

6–4 over 233 · L5 4–1
232.7
224266168294221187292299235253

Defence

NO allow232 yds
league average231 yds

CIN @ BAL

1:00 PM ET

Joe Burrow

1:00 PM ET
CIN vs BAL · QB
Our projection 260yds
L540% (2/5)L1050% (5/10)
252 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 260 · L5 2–3
260.3
284225309305236254207282428190

Defence

BAL allow239 yds
league average231 yds

Tyler Huntley

1:00 PM ET
BAL vs CIN · QB
Our projection 117yds
L540% (2/5)L1038% (3/8)
110 per game
Player detail +

Last 8 games

3–5 over 117 · L5 2–3
116.7
6818606510763201165

Defence

CIN allow245 yds
league average231 yds

CLE @ TEN

1:00 PM ET

Deshaun Watson

1:00 PM ET
CLE vs TEN · QB
Our projection 204yds
L540% (2/5)L1050% (3/6)
196 per game
Player detail +

Last 6 games

3–3 over 204 · L5 2–3
203.6
205238144268155164

Defence

TEN allow240 yds
league average231 yds

Cam Ward

1:00 PM ET
TEN vs CLE · QB
Our projection 160yds
L580% (4/5)L1070% (7/10)
174 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

7–3 over 160 · L5 4–1
160
17022825152140183181222170102

Defence

CLE allow212 yds
league average231 yds

IND @ MIN

1:00 PM ET

Kyler Murray

1:00 PM ET
MIN vs IND · QB
Our projection 193yds
L560% (3/5)L1056% (5/9)
179 per game
Player detail +

Last 9 games

5–4 over 193 · L5 3–2
192.9
16322015920022018168247229

Defence

IND allow249 yds
league average231 yds

Daniel Jones

1:00 PM ET
IND vs MIN · QB
Our projection 182yds
L580% (4/5)L1060% (6/10)
224 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

6–4 over 182 · L5 4–1
182.1
25518120160166210235143267269

Defence

MIN allow188 yds
league average231 yds

MIA @ NYJ

1:00 PM ET

Geno Smith

1:00 PM ET
NYJ vs MIA · QB
Our projection 211yds
L560% (3/5)L1040% (4/10)
214 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

4–6 over 211 · L5 3–2
211.4
165116201176215247321119182252

Defence

MIA allow228 yds
league average231 yds

Malik Willis

1:00 PM ET
MIA vs NYJ · QB
Our projection 129yds
L580% (4/5)L1056% (5/9)
141 per game
Player detail +

Last 9 games

5–4 over 129 · L5 4–1
129.4
6712128822019721085137

Defence

NYJ allow212 yds
league average231 yds

NYG @ HOU

1:00 PM ET

C.J. Stroud

1:00 PM ET
HOU vs NYG · QB
Our projection 236yds
L580% (4/5)L1070% (7/10)
258 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

7–3 over 236 · L5 4–1
235.9
260187244169274353167347261312

Defence

NYG allow211 yds
league average231 yds

J.J. McCarthy

1:00 PM ET
NYG vs HOU · QB
Our projection 156yds
L560% (3/5)L1050% (5/10)
149 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 156 · L5 3–2
155.5
143248150871632501081820243

Defence

HOU allow241 yds
league average231 yds

SF @ ATL

1:00 PM ET

Brock Purdy

1:00 PM ET
SF vs ATL · QB
Our projection 262yds
L560% (3/5)L1060% (6/10)
242 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

6–4 over 262 · L5 3–2
262
295295303127205287297218189264

Defence

ATL allow250 yds
league average231 yds

Michael Penix Jr.

1:00 PM ET
ATL vs SF · QB
Our projection 229yds
L540% (2/5)L1050% (5/10)
228 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 229 · L5 2–3
229.1
313250241221177175256223240225

Defence

SF allow232 yds
league average231 yds

TB @ CAR

1:00 PM ET

Bryce Young

1:00 PM ET
CAR vs TB · QB
Our projection 271yds
L5100% (5/5)L1050% (5/10)
256 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 271 · L5 5–0
270.6
20616319154266361287291329281

Defence

TB allow244 yds
league average231 yds

Jalon Daniels

1:00 PM ET
TB vs CAR · QB
Our projection 123yds
L575% (3/4)L1075% (3/4)
125 per game
Player detail +

Last 4 games

3–1 over 123 · L5 3–1
123.2
0148189164

Defence

CAR allow227 yds
league average231 yds

DEN @ ARI

4:05 PM ET

Jacoby Brissett

4:05 PM ET
ARI vs DEN · QB
Our projection 221yds
L540% (2/5)L1050% (5/10)
229 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 221 · L5 2–3
220.7
24920321224327795280166292218

Defence

DEN allow223 yds
league average231 yds

Bo Nix

4:05 PM ET
DEN vs ARI · QB
Our projection 210yds
L540% (2/5)L1040% (4/10)
197 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

4–6 over 210 · L5 2–3
209.7
302352182141131288186214123107

Defence

ARI allow246 yds
league average231 yds

GB @ DET

4:25 PM ET

Jordan Love

4:25 PM ET
GB vs DET · QB
Our projection 318yds
L520% (1/5)L1020% (2/10)
259 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

2–8 over 318 · L5 1–4
317.5
23423427677387145312197367276

Defence

DET allow284 yds
league average231 yds

Jared Goff

4:25 PM ET
DET vs GB · QB
Our projection 256yds
L580% (4/5)L1080% (8/10)
284 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

8–2 over 256 · L5 4–1
256.1
309338364197331206327269412271

Defence

GB allow208 yds
league average231 yds

LA @ LV

4:25 PM ET

Matthew Stafford

4:25 PM ET
LA vs LV · QB
Our projection 299yds
L580% (4/5)L1060% (6/10)
290 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

6–4 over 299 · L5 4–1
298.6
368457269259155327390317383222

Defence

LV allow238 yds
league average231 yds

Kirk Cousins

4:25 PM ET
LV vs LA · QB
Our projection 195yds
L5100% (5/5)L1070% (7/10)
227 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

7–3 over 195 · L5 5–0
194.6
373197126180160253248365243313

Defence

LA allow198 yds
league average231 yds

KC @ SEA

8:20 PM ET

Patrick Mahomes

8:20 PM ET
KC vs SEA · QB
Our projection 201yds
L580% (4/5)L1070% (7/10)
259 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

7–3 over 201 · L5 4–1
201.1
276352261160189184382246225272

Defence

SEA allow179 yds
league average231 yds

Drew Lock

8:20 PM ET
SEA vs KC · QB
Our projection 69yds
L540% (2/5)L1040% (2/5)
74 per game
Player detail +

Last 5 games

2–3 over 69 · L5 2–3
68.7
1500187235

Defence

KC allow216 yds
league average231 yds

DAL @ PHI

8:15 PM ET

Dak Prescott

8:15 PM ET
DAL vs PHI · QB
Our projection 274yds
L580% (4/5)L1060% (6/10)
271 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

6–4 over 274 · L5 4–1
274.5
29424430770175279276335316258

Defence

PHI allow234 yds
league average231 yds

Jalen Hurts

8:15 PM ET
PHI vs DAL · QB
Our projection 209yds
L540% (2/5)L1040% (4/10)
193 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

4–6 over 209 · L5 2–3
208.9
23024017518511020326415393220

Defence

DAL allow250 yds
league average231 yds

Graded

63.68 yards off, on average, over 178 projections. On the 178 where a baseline exists: 63.68 adjusted against 62.51 unadjusted — the opponent adjustment is not earning its place.